Arizona’s Republican gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake is locked in a tight race with Dem Challenger Katie Hobbs. The vote is still coming in but according to an Arizona elections expert, the GOP has a lot of votes left outstanding.
Former elections official and ABC data scientist Garrett Archer said:
“Not that I want to rain on anyone’s party. But a reminder that based on the affidavit transmission party data we still have some very, very friendly batches coming for R slate in Maricopa.
“Almost certainly not friendly enough for Masters. Lake and Hamadeh are very much in this.
From the Data Guru himself:
“The GOP cavalry is coming”
Buckle up, boys and girls.
It’s about to get fun! 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/iufPIhroUb— Kari Lake (@KariLake) November 12, 2022
“This is also big.
“The next batch of 114k late early drop-offs that were transmitted to the elections department will break in favor of @KariLake.
“Important note: We do not know when these ballots will be tabulated, but the GOP cavalry is coming.”
Kari Lake said:
“From the Data Guru himself: The GOP cavalry is coming”
“Buckle up, boys and girls.
“It’s about to get fun.”
Archer added later:
AZ outstanding ballot estimate w/ provisionals as of 830pm 11/11
State: 394,521
Apache 9,280
Cochise 8,262
Coconino 8,208
Gila 55
Graham 118
Maricopa 274,885
Mohave 1,200
Pima 71,406
Pinal 17,969
Yavapai 1,983
Yuma 1,155
Maricopa intends to drop more results at 8pm local. Most of the outstanding ballots are from vote rich GOP strongholds in the East Valley past Gilbert Rd. and north of loop 101. Probably worth a point or two to the overall total for GOP slate.
As I said before: Knife's edge. https://t.co/597c8sRR13
— The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 12, 2022
AZ outstanding ballot estimate w/ provisionals as of 830pm 11/11
State: 394,521
Apache 9,280
Cochise 8,262
Coconino 8,208
Gila 55
Graham 118
Maricopa 274,885
Mohave 1,200
Pima 71,406
Pinal 17,969
Yavapai 1,983
Yuma 1,155— The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 12, 2022
